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Published on 24.10.17 in Vol 6, No 2 (2017): Jul-Dec

This paper is in the following e-collection/theme issue:

    Original Paper

    Willingness to Pay for Elderly Telecare Service Using the Internet and Digital Terrestrial Broadcasting

    1Graduate School of Health Sciences, Department of Health Sciences, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan

    2Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan

    Corresponding Author:

    Katsuhiko Ogasawara, MBA, PhD

    Department of Health Sciences

    Faculty of Health Sciences

    Hokkaido University

    Kita 12, Nishi 5

    kitaku

    Sapporo, 060-0812

    Japan

    Phone: 81 117069409

    Fax:81 117069409

    Email:


    ABSTRACT

    Background: In Japan over the past few years, more attention has been focused on unnoticed solitary death in the context of an aging society and the trend toward nuclear family. A number of institutions and companies have implemented a prevention measure with digital terrestrial broadcasting telecare services for the elderly: Hokkaido University; TV-Asahi Corporation; Hitachi, Ltd; Iwamizawa City; Hokkaido Television Broadcasting Co, Ltd; and Hamanasu Information Co, Ltd. Although this system is provided free of charge as a demonstration test, determining the appropriate price for the service is required for its sustainable operation.

    Objective: The aim of this study was to quantify individual willingness to pay (WTP) so as to test the tenability of digital terrestrial broadcasting service for elderly telecare.

    Methods: We used the contingent valuation method (CVM) to estimate the WTP for this service among 305 citizens (valid response rate 76.0%) living in Japan. A questionnaire survey was conducted for people aged 18 to 100 years according to Japanese age distribution from September 2016. To elicit WTP, we adopted a double-bound dichotomous choice method to ask the respondents whether they agree or disagree with the price we offered.

    Results: The median WTP for this service’s monthly fee is estimated to be 431 JPY (approximately US $3.7). The finding suggests that gender (0.66, P=.01), health consciousness (1.08, P=.01), willingness to use (2.38, P<.001), and seeing others less than once a week (1.00, P=.06) made a positive effect on WTP.

    Conclusions: We conclude that reliable WTP was elicited by CVM based on an Internet survey. Calculated median WTP for digital terrestrial broadcasting service for elderly telecare was 431 JPY (approximately US $3.7). In the analysis of factors that affect WTP, constant factors, log-bid, health consciousness, gender, see others less than one time for week, and willingness to use made positive effect to probability of acceptance. In comparison of WTP in different groups, age groups showed that WTP of the elderly group was higher than WTP of the middle age group and younger age group. However, WTP surveys need to be carefully conducted to minimize the sampling bias and allocate accurate structure of gender distribution.

    Interact J Med Res 2017;6(2):e21

    doi:10.2196/ijmr.7461

    KEYWORDS



    Introduction

    Aging Society

    Japanese society has been known as an aging society. Coulmas defined the percentage of an aging society as follows: “There are three different types of societies based on the proportion of elderly. Aging society: 7-14% of the population are 65 years or older. Aged society: 14-21% of the population are 65 years or older. Hyper-aged society: 21% or more of the population are 65 years or older.” [1]. In 1970, the Japanese society was defined as an aging society, aged society in 1994, and in 2004, it became a hyper-aged society, and we expect this trend to continue [2]. Aging society comes with many social problems such as lack of medical resources and increase in social security expenses, and finding a solution to these problems has become an urgent task for Japan [3].

    One of the biggest issues among aging societies is unnoticed isolated death. According to the Tokyo medical examiner’s office [4], unnoticed isolated death is defined as “death seen by no-one on their deathbed and mostly in home.” The reason for this social phenomenon is likely to be caused by the changing family structure, such as the nuclear family [5].

    Although surveys about isolated elderly deaths in Japan have not been conducted, in Tokyo alone, 1973 males and 1143 elderly females were found after their death in their home, reported by Tokyo Medical Examiner’s Office. Moreover, 15,603 unnoticed isolated deaths were found in Japan more than 4 days after their death, reported by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication [6]. The delay in finding of isolated death has become an increasing social cost [7]. The cost they need to pay is listed in Table 1.

    Table 1. Social cost of unnoticed isolated death.
    View this table

    Autopsy cost is mentioned as a public expenditure. However, this cost can be avoided if a death certificate is issued by the hospital, and thus, the early finding of disorder before death would save government expenses. The government [8,9] and several companies have offered methods to solve this problem [10-13].

    Previous Research

    In Iwamizawa City, Hokkaido, Japan, in cooperation with Hokkaido University; TV-Asahi Corporation; Hitachi, Ltd; Iwamizawa City; Hokkaido Television Broadcasting Co, Ltd; and Hamanasu Information Co, Ltd, have been conducting demonstration experiments of elderly telecare services using the Internet and digital terrestrial broadcasting to enhance health consciousness of the elderly and to improve elderly telecare [14].

    About participation in this project, we connected the Internet to the television at the homes of participants who gave agreement. After issuing the participant’s user ID and password on the dedicated system, we made an Internet connection of the participant’s television and personal ID setting to their television. Registered TV in this study refers to a television that is ready to receive telecare services after personal ID setting is completed. The initial setting operation flow is shown in Figure 1. The person in charge of the city went for the equipment setting at the elderly home.

    In this service, when a registered TV is not used for 3 days, the call center will make a confirmatory telephone call to the registered individual, and if the individual cannot be reached, then the neighborhood association and civil servant committee will visit the registered location to make sure the individual is not in any fatal situation. Other than the elderly telecare function, this service also offers information about health care, local events, and doctors on duty in local hospitals (Figures 2 and 3).

    Although this system has been provided free of charge as a demonstration test, obtaining a certain level of return of economic investment is required for the sustainable operation of this service. The aim of this study was to quantify individual willingness to pay (WTP) measures of a digital terrestrial broadcasting service for elderly telecare.

    Figure 1. Operational flow to start.
    View this figure
    Figure 2. Contents of elderly telecare service.
    View this figure
    Figure 3. Elderly telecare service.
    View this figure

    Methods

    Contingent Valuation Method

    In this study, we used the contingent valuation method (CVM) to quantify individual WTP, which is widely used in economic evaluations [15], for example, in the health, transportation, and environment sectors. The CVM survey is used to elicit WTP values for a hypothetical change in the availability of nonmarket goods or services. Individual WTP values are generally elicited through dichotomous choice. The procedure is to ask a random sample of individuals via an Internet survey if they would be willing to pay a certain amount for a hypothetical change in the availability of a particular service. The test samples will be given two yes or no questions regarding price (Table 2). The second price is lower for people answering no and higher for people answering yes [16].

    Table 2. Question price patterns in JPY (US $).
    View this table

    Data Collection

    We decided to conduct an Internet survey because it is more cost-efficient and faster than mail or face-to-face interviews. A total of 400 Japanese citizens ranging from 18 to 100 years of age were chosen to participate in this survey. However, to reflect the Japanese population [17], the sample was strategically selected according to the Japanese population structure and then divided into 10 groups according to the subjects’ age and residential area. We expected WTP of people living in urban cities to be higher than that of people in rural areas because unnoticed isolated death in urban cities is regarded as a problem reported by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications [18], and age can also affect WTP. For a definition of age distribution, refer to Table 3. For a definition of population distribution in urban areas, refer to Table 4.

    Table 3. Definitions of age distribution.
    View this table
    Table 4. Definition of population distribution in urban areas.
    View this table

    WTP Estimation

    We used a double-bound dichotomous logit model; median WTP is estimated as a representative value. Median indicates that 50.0% of the respondents agree with the offered amount [19,20]. This is important because our project is a public project [21], and median is usually the deciding factor for many public decisions. For estimating the WTP parameter, we decided to use a logit model because we expect WTP to stagnate after the price reaches a certain amount [22,23]. First, we estimate WTP with a model including all variables (Figure 4). Next, we estimate WTP with a model including variables with significant influence, and finally, we compare the WTP between different age groups and area groups with the Krinsky and Robb credential interval [24].

    Figure 4. The model includes all variables.
    View this figure
    Table 5. Expected effects to willingness to pay (WTP).
    View this table
    Table 6. The questionnaire for excluding invalid answers.
    View this table

    Questionnaire Design

    Regarding questionnaire design (Table 5), we prepared questions to ask about basic properties, such as “family structure,” “family net income,” “Do you have anyone who lives alone around you?,” and questions related to factors affecting WTP such as “Do you habitually care about your health?,” “Would you like to use this service?,” “Are you concerned about your health?,” “Do you have weekly meetings with anybody?,” and “If this service costs JPY, would you be willing to pay? Think about the decrease in your income or saving,” and “How about if this service costs ~JPY? Would you be willing to pay?” We also prepared questionnaires for excluding invalid answers (Table 6).


    Results

    Results of Questionnaire

    The response rate of this questionnaire was 100%, but 95 answers were excluded because of invalid answers. Therefore, 305 (76%; Tables 7-9) answers were analyzed.

    According to our initial calculation, the WTP average was calculated to be 1525 JPY (US $13.1). However, this figure is inaccurate, as it does not take into account the concern of overvaluation. As a general countermeasure, it is recommended to cut the hem with the maximum WTP [21]. In the second calculation, we decided to insert a maximum value of 3500 JPY (US $30.2), which gave us a new average of 809 JPY (US $6.9), and a median of 431 JPY (US $3.7; Figure 5, Table 10). In addition, we confirmed that multicollinearity between each variable does not occur, using the variance inflation factor (VIF; Table 11).

    Table 7. Basic properties (305 valid responses).
    View this table
    Table 8. Factor summary.
    View this table
    Table 9. Summary of price patterns.
    View this table
    Table 10. Estimated willingness to pay (WTP).
    View this table
    Table 11. Estimated parameters of the willingness to pay (WTP) model.
    View this table

    If we look at the comparison between different generations (Figure 6), we can see that younger generations (18-39 years) and middle generations (39-64 years) do not have significant differences. However, the older generation (over 65 years), who are potential users in the future, showed a much higher WTP and is significantly different from the other generations. Although we expected that people of different locations would make a significant difference in the WTP (Figure 7), the result shows that there are no significant differences for people living in urban and nonurban areas.

    Figure 5. Estimated willingness to pay (WTP) model.
    View this figure
    Figure 6. CI of willingness to pay (WTP) for different generations.
    View this figure
    Figure 7. CI of willingness to pay (WTP) for urban and nonurban area.
    View this figure

    Analysis of Factors Affecting WTP

    In analysis of factors affecting WTP, variables with significant changes will be isolated and analyzed in more detail (Tables 12 and 13). We adopted a logistic linear model for the following isolated factors: constant factors, log-bid, gender, health consciousness, willingness to use, and not seen for over a week.

    Table 12. Analysis of all factors that affect willingness to pay (WTP).
    View this table
    Table 13. Analysis with only isolated factors that affect willingness to pay (WTP).
    View this table

    Discussion

    WTP With Relation to Price

    According to our research, the estimated median WTP is 431 JPY (US $3.7) per month, and the mean is 809 JPY (US $6.9) per month. It would be greatly beneficial if there were other similar research studies available for comparison. Unfortunately, WTP research for this service is first of its kind, which limited us from comparing with previous research. As the second best alternative, we decided to use figures of similar services to compare the practicality and validity of our research finding. Similar services (Figure 8) include a signaled kettle sensor for 3000 JPY (US $25.9) per month, a periodical home visit service by the post office for 1980 JPY (US $17.1) per month, and an add-on gas meter sensor service for 940 JPY (US $8.1) per month.

    Compared with our finding, the prices listed above are more expensive. WTP only represents utility of consumers. However, services provided by privately owned enterprises need to retrieve costs and make a profit on top of the consumer utility. It is worth mentioning that care services are offered by the security company, Secom Ltd, for 300 JPY (US $2.5) per month. Although 300 JPY may seem less costly compared with any other services, this service is provided as an optional service of top of home security services for 5900 JPY (US $51.0) per month. If singled out, the service provided by Secom Ltd is likely to be higher than other services.

    There is also a free periodic phone call service provided by Mitaka City in Tokyo but, although it is free of charge, it does not indicate that it is free to run and operate. The only reason this service can exist and continue existing is because of the direct financial support from the government in the form of taxes paid by the general public. In addition to government financial support, Mitaka City does not send any personnel to make home visits, which significantly cuts the cost on human resources.

    In conclusion, the WTP figure of 431 JPY (US $3.7) per month is valid. We can make this conclusion because this figure is lower than all privately owned enterprises yet higher than public services provided by Mitaka City.

    Figure 8. Price comparison with similar services.
    View this figure

    Comparing Different Age Groups in WTP

    Looking at different age groups, we notice a factor in significant difference in WTP comes from one of the three age groups. Young generation from 18-39 years old and middle generation from 40-64 years old do not make any significant difference. However, the WTP for elderly generation (65+ years) is substantially higher than the other two age groups. In the beginning of this research, we expected the middle age group to have the highest WTP because this group is expected to have the highest income. However, this group is also expected to have the longest working hours, and therefore, it is likely for this age group to pay to ensure the health of their parents. Another reason for this assumption is the marketing direction of privately owned enterprises. If we pay attention to the marketing direction of enterprises offering similar services, we can notice that all targets are set at the middle generation age group. This trend misleads us to think that the middle generation age group would have the highest WTP out of all three age groups. Thus, we misjudged the tendency, and the elderly generation age group has the highest WTP out of all. After this consideration, we believe the reason for the highest WTP for this age group is because of two reasons, the first of which is savings. In this research, we looked at net income but not savings. Although the middle generation age group may have the highest net income, the elderly generation age group has the highest savings out of all three age groups [25], which allows them to spend money on ensuring their own standard of living. The second reason is only an assumption; however, humans are likely to worry about one’s own health risk the most. Therefore, instead of spending money on others, it is more likely that one spends money on themselves, which for this service happens to be the elderly generation age group. As a reflection, we decided that if we were to conduct the same or similar research again, we would add savings as a new factor and pay more attention to the spending pattern of sampling subjects.

    Comparing Urban and Nonurban Test Subjects in WTP

    According to the research done by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, unnoticed solitary death is higher in urban than in nonurban areas [26]. We believe the reason for this trend is because people living in nonurban areas are not as busy as people living in urban areas, which allows them to have a closer relationship with one another. This close relationship naturally lowers the risk of unnoticed solitary death; therefore, the WTP in nonurban areas, because of direct relationship and closeness with neighbors, should be lower than WTP in urban areas. However, according to our research, the WTP for urban and nonurban does not make much of a difference in WTP. After careful consideration, we believe this is because excessively busy lifestyles in urban areas lower the public consciousness of solitary death in urban areas. Due to the lack of consciousness, the WTP in urban areas is roughly the same as in nonurban areas.

    Analysis of Factor Affecting WTP

    During research, we found six different variables that affect the final WTP estimation: constant factors, log-bid, gender, health consciousness, willingness to use, and not seen for over a week. We will look at four out of the six factors. With regard to gender, we expected that, given the same health consciousness, WTP would not change for either gender. However, the result shows that males have higher WTP than females. We believe the reason is because males have higher risks of solitary death compared with females (Tokyo Medical Examiners’ Office). Health consciousness is an easy factor to understand. People with higher health consciousness naturally are more willing to pay to receive health care service and information, thus, their WTP is higher than that of people with lower health consciousness. Our previous study [27] indicated that willingness to use affects the WTP [27].

    For the factor see others less than once a week, it is possible that they do not participate in the local society, so they found our project offering information about the local community and telecare service useful.

    The technology acceptance model (TAM) is widely used as a model to analyze factors that people accept new technologies and services. In this model, four factors, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, attitude toward using, and behavioral intention to use are cited as factors leading to the use of new technologies and services by people [28].

    Hirose et al are conducting research using TAM for responses to mHealth application on health behavior [29]. From the results, they suggest that it is possible to explain health behavior by TAM. For this service, we also need to consider the technological acceptability by TAM. Furthermore, we think that it is also necessary to consider availability of financial resources and elasticity of pricing to examine the possibility of more realistic service acceptance. We also believe that it is necessary to analyze what kind of causal relationship the new watchkeeping service used in this research can be accepted by using TAM. We will make future investigations to conduct surveys together with analysis by TAM and WTP.

    In this research, we were conducting a questionnaire survey in temporary environments; hence, we cannot clarify what factors and performance are affecting the WTP. Analysis of customer satisfaction and physical satisfaction using a service quality model such as the Kano model is needed. On the basis of the analysis results, we believe that it is necessary to consider the acceptance price, taking the quality of service into account.

    Sampling Bias on Internet Research

    This research was conducted using an Internet survey; therefore, it is possible that there is bias [30,31]. The biggest bias is information technology (IT) literacy. For people with sufficient IT literacy, it is safe to assume that they are of a healthier group that is not in immediate need of this service, which thus lowers the WTP average. On the other hand, the people who need the service do not have enough IT literacy to answer the survey via the Internet. There is also gender bias to be considered. When we chose the survey sample, we made choices based on age and location, but we did not take gender into consideration, which may lower the accuracy of the final estimated WTP. To prove the existence of gender bias, we made the following table listing percentage of different sample groups (Table 14). The result shows that there is gender inequality in the research sample. If we look at the ratio of male and female in the survey participants, we can see that the male sample group is much greater than the female sample group. The ideal sampling group for male is 193, but the total number of males who took the test was 248, whereas the ideal female sample is 207, but the number of females who took the test was only 152. If we look at these figures using the chi-square test, the number of males in the age group of 50 to 64 years is greater than the expected value, whereas the number of females aged 50 to 64 years and 65+ years is less than the expected value. These numbers indicate that this bias may affect the final estimated WTP. If we were to conduct a similar research next time, it would be important to take the gender difference into account as well.

    The double-bound dichotomous choice method used in this study may cause yes-saying bias. It also has the possibility of causing anchoring bias, in which the answer depends on the initial presentation amount. The point that it cannot fully cope with these tasks is considered to be one of the problems of CVM. On the basis of the theory of behavioral economics, we think that it is necessary to consider the WTP in a method not affected by the priming effect and the anchoring effect.

    Table 14. Chi-square test for gender distribution. χ220=104, P&lt;.05.
    View this table

    Conclusions

    In this study, we conducted an Internet survey. Median WTP is estimated to be 431 JPY (US $3.7) per month, and mean WTP is estimated to be 809 JPY (US $6.9) per month. For comparison of WTP among age groups and differences between residential areas, the elderly group is estimated to be higher than other groups. In the analysis of factors that affect WTP, constant factors, log-bid, gender, health consciousness, willingness to use, and not seen for over a week had positive effects on WTP. With regard to gender, it was estimated that there was a significant effect only for men. In comparison of WTP in different groups, age groups showed that WTP of the elderly group was higher than WTP of the middle age group and younger age group. However, WTP surveys need to be carefully conducted to minimize the sampling bias and to allocate accurate structure of gender distribution.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors would like to thank all those from TV-Asahi Corporation, Hitachi, Ltd, Iwamizawa City, Hokkaido Television Broadcasting Co, Ltd, and Hamanasu Information Co, Ltd, who supported and participated in this study.

    Conflicts of Interest

    None declared.

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    Abbreviations

    CVM: contingent valuation method
    IT: information technology
    VIF: variance inflation factor
    WTP: willingness to pay


    Edited by G Eysenbach; submitted 07.02.17; peer-reviewed by S Spinsante, J Hasebrook; comments to author 17.06.17; revised version received 09.08.17; accepted 10.09.17; published 24.10.17

    ©Satoshi Kaga, Teppei Suzuki, Katsuhiko Ogasawara. Originally published in the Interactive Journal of Medical Research (http://www.i-jmr.org/), 24.10.2017.

    This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in the Interactive Journal of Medical Research, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on http://www.i-jmr.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.